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Agricultural and economic systems in the conditions оf enhancing exogenic and endogenous turbulence
The common problems and patterns of development of nature, economy, society, which are in a state of order, disorder, crisis, catastrophe or chaos have become the basis for the conclusion about the unity of their basis. The positions of foreign and Ukrainian scientists on the development of macroeconomic systems in conditions of chaos and order are systematized and their main provisions for the analysis of the development of agro-economic systems in conditions of increasing endogenous and exogenous turbulence are transferred. The expediency of using the turbulent approach method for the analysis of functioning of complex structures is confirmed and the attribution to this type of agro-economic systems, which unite three different environments and their subsystems: natural-biological, production-realization, financial-banking, is substantiated. The types of turbulence are systematized and the risks and losses are revealed, the potential negative consequences of which are amplified with each subsequent stage: from the selection of genetic resources to the disposal of waste production and consumption of food and non-compliance with technological and other requirements. Peculiarities of turbulence occurrence and its potential consequences for different states of basic processes of agrarian-economic systems are analyzed: genetic-resource, soil-adaptive, production-raw materials, processing-product, logistic-realization, financial-economic. The role of the eastern neighbor in restricting the import of agricultural products of Ukraine and accelerating the harmonization of the national system of technical regulation with the basic model of technical regulation of the EU is highlighted. The peculiarities of modern approaches to the preparation and implementation of various scenarios for limiting the impact of the negative effects of turbulence and compensation for losses from it to the actors of agri-food chains are revealed. Proposals for the introduction of creative approaches in the training of managers and their independent development of various scenarios for the emergence and intensification of turbulent chaos have been developed.
Key words: order, bifurcations, fluctuations, exogenous and endogenous turbulence, agri-food chains, development scenarios in the event of chaos.
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